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People Are Amazed To Find Out What “Percent Chance Of Rain” Really Means

A common phrase by meteorologists is blowing peoples’ minds now that they know what it actually means. According to the Daily Mail, several people have taken to TikTok to explain the…

Rain And Thunderstorm In Dramatic Sky (Surviving Thunderstorms: 5 Don'ts You Must Remember)
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A common phrase by meteorologists is blowing peoples’ minds now that they know what it actually means. According to the Daily Mail, several people have taken to TikTok to explain the truth behind a common saying. When weather presenters say “there's a 40% chance of rain in your area”… the answer is shocking for many.

So, here’s the deal. If a meteorologist on the news says, “There's a 40% chance of rain,” she doesn’t mean that there’s a 40% chance it will rain. What she means is that there is a 100% chance that it’ll rain in 40% of the area. The result of this calculation is known as “probability of precipitation” or “PoP.”

The point of PoP is to give a single number that takes two things into consideration – how likely it is to rain and how widespread the rain will be. But unfortunately for many viewers, PoP continues to be totally misunderstood, hence the confusion on TikTok.

So, how is PoP calculated? With a little math problem.

  • To get the PoP, you need to multiply “C” (how “confident” a meteorologist is that it will rain). And “A” (the “amount” of an area that will get rained on).
  • For example, if a meteorologist is 50% confident that 60% of an area will get rain, they’d multiply 0.5 x 0.6 and get a PoP of 0.3 or 30%.

Because of this confusion, many meteorologists have abandoned revealing the PoP score altogether. Perhaps they should consider bringing it back now that we actually know what it means!

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Speaking of the strange things that TikTok has taught us, have you seen the list of "Lazy Girl" jobs you could score if you're looking for a little change of scenery in your career?

North Carolina Apple Orchard Voted One Of The Best In The Nation

Check your calendars, people! September is here, and October isn't far behind. If you're looking forward to doing some apple picking I have good news for you! A North Carolina apple orchard was voted one of the best in the nation. The website Study Finds put out it's best Orchards in the country list recently. Travel experts voted on the 5 best.

Apple picking can be a great family activity. Heck, even if you don't have a family it can be fun! It allows people to spend quality time together, bond, and create lasting memories.

Many orchards also offer activities like hayrides, corn mazes, and petting zoos, making it a fun outing for families and friends. Apple picking offers a chance to spend time outdoors, away from the usual urban areas. It's honestly a refreshing change and an opportunity to enjoy nature and the changing seasons.

I appreciate the opportunity to connect with nature and see the source of their food firsthand. Picking apples directly from trees can offer your kids an appreciation for where food comes from and how it grows.

Orchards with rows of apple trees, the fall foliage, and the overall rustic setting provide picturesque backgrounds for photographs. Many people enjoy taking photos during their apple-picking trips. You'll see your Instagram fill up with these pictures right after Labor Day.

In essence, apple picking is more than just about harvesting apples; it's about the experience, the connection to nature, and the sense of tradition and community that it brings.

North Carolina has plenty of spots to spend the day apple picking. My wife and I enjoy going to Hendersonville to pick there. There's some great apple picking in spots closer to Charlotte too. Carrigan Farms is one of those. But one North Carolina apple orchard is on the top of the list. Let's have a look!

1. Mercier Orchards Blueridge, Georgia

Top Apple Orchards in the country

Welcome to Georgia (Getty)

Nothing says apple-picking like the "Peach State." Well, it's true. Mercier Orchards in Blueridge,  Georgia takes the top spot on the list. The veteran-owned orchard also features a winery with hard cider tastings. Yumm!

2. Jaswell’s Farm (Smithfield, Rhode Island)

Jaswell’s Farm (Smithfield, Rhode Island)fotoguy22/ Getty Images Creative

Who would think Rhode Island was home to a great orchard? They are apparently. Study Finds says the apple fritters are to die for. Then they also have caramel/chocolate/Oreo-covered apples. Yummm! I'm going! 

3. Sky Top Orchard (Flat Rock, North Carolina)

Sky Top Orchard (Flat Rock, North Carolina)

(Shutterstock)

Home sweet home! Sky Top in Flat Rock has been running for decades! They offer more than 20 apple varieties to pick from August through October. The farm is huge with over 100 acres atop Mount McAlpine in Flat Rock. Perfect for picture taking! 

4. Carter Mountain Orchard (Charlottesville, VA)

Annual Apple Harvest Underway In Washington State

(Photo by Jeff T. Green/Getty Images)

At Carter Mountain Orchard you can pick over 20 varieties of apples. Good ones like; Fuji, Pink Lady, and York. There's hayrides around the property and enjoying fresh-pressed apple cider, apple cider doughnuts, and wine. While there you can take in the views from the observation deck overlooking the Blue Ridge Mountains.

5. Applecrest Farm Orchards (Hampton Falls, New Hampshire)

Applecrest Farm Orchards (Hampton Falls, New Hampshire)AndrewSoundarajan/Getty

My cousin swears New Hampshire is a great place. I've never been. But he goes to his vacation house near Applecrest Farm Orchards. You can listen to bluegrass music, go apple picking, jump on hayrides too!

LauRen Merola Strager is a former NFL & NBA cheerleader turned radio host. LauRen is a former Miss Pennsylvania USA and is a proud wife and mother of two. She is the owner and chief editor for her fashion and lifestyle Blog “All Of The F-Words” and is a champion for the Autism community. You can read all about LauRen’s thoughts on motherhood, pageant life, and everyday life through her online content.